Errol Spence Jr v Shawn Porter, WBC WORLD / IBF WORLD WELTERWEIGHT TITLES, Sky Sports – Big fight in the welterweight division as Errol Spence (25-0) puts his IBF title on the line, against WBC champion Shawn Porter (30-2-1) in Los Angeles, live on Sky Sports. Spence is at worst 3rd in the mythical pound for pound rankings, next to Lomachenko and Crawford. Either on those 3 could be number 1 and not many would argue, hes more like 1 A, B and C than 1, 2, 3. He is indeed “The Truth”. He was given a fight with IBF champion Kell Brook in 2017, and travelled to Sheffield, Brooks hometown to take the title. In a brilliant performance, he made Brook quit in the 11th round, a fight Spence was winning easily anyway, and took the IBF belt home. Since that win, you could argue he might have had bigger fights, but Lamont Peterson and Carlos Ocampo were easily beaten, setting up a big fight (at the time) with Mikey Garcia. Garcia jumped up from lightweight for this fight, and it was clear from the first bell was just not big enough to compete with a full welterweight like Spence. Spence won every round and won a UD by a combined 37 points across the three scorecards. Shawn Porter is one of the most likeable men in boxing. Never won to dodge any fight and happy to take on anyone. He himself was once IBF champion, beating Julio Diaz in 2013 before losing it to Brook in 2014 in a very close SD loss. He rebounded beating Erick Bone and Adrian Broner, before pushing Keith Thurman as close to anyone had at the time. Porter lost a UD, 113-115 on all three cards, but proved to everyone he was still a top dog at welterweight. Andre Berto, Andrian Granados, Danny Garcia, and Yordenis Ugas have been beaten since the Thurman loss, as Porter looks to win back the title he lost 5 year ago. I don’t think Spence can be beat at welterweight, and the 1/8 on him winning shows the bookies agree this weekend. That might be a little harsh on Porter, who himself is 5/1. I don’t think we’ll see this fight end inside the 12 rounds, bar a bad cut or injury to either man. The 4/11 for this to go 12 is very generous. If either of the two are winning by stoppage, it will be will Spence, who is 5/2 to keep his bets by KO. Porter is an unlikely 14/1, and 8/1 to win a decision. The bet here is for Spence to win on the cards, which is an excellent 4/7. The issue here is the weight for Porter. He has to cut his hair to make 147 against Ugas, so any struggles making weight will be a nail in the coffin for his chanches here. Porter will definitely give Spence a tough fight here if he avoids any weight issues, he’s relentless and will continue coming forward all night. But Spence is just too good, and will be able to counter and pot shot when Porter comes forward and leaves openings, to catch the judges eye and win most of the rounds. Manny Pacquiao in a massive PPV may be next for Spence if he wins here, but if im Manny, i’d be secretly hoping Porter wins as Spence will almost certainly put an end to Pacquiao’s legendary career.
BNC Tip – Spence to win by decision @ 4/7
Other Notable Fight
Daniel Dubois v Ebenezer Tetteh, VACANT COMMONWEALTH HEAVYWEIGHT TITLE, BT Sport – Another step up the ladder for 22 year old heavyweight Dubois (12-0) as he takes on unbeaten Ghanaian Tetteh (19-0). The 31 year old has never fought outside Ghana, and is coming to the Robert Albert Hall to give Dubois a half decent go, but will lose and make Dubois look good in doing so. Dubois looked sensational in July, battering and stopping rival Nathan Gorman inside 5 rounds to make a real statement in winning the British title. Dubois is 1/100 to make it 13 from 13, with a stoppage 1/20. The bookies think this ends early, with rounds 1-3 coming in at 1/2. I don’t think they going to be wrong. Take you pick from rounds 1 (9/4), 2 (7/2) or 3 (5/1). Im going with round 2 @ 7/2 as hopefully Tetteh can survive the opening 3 minutes before hes flattened.
Anthony Dirrell v David Benavidez, WBC WORLD SUPER-MIDDLEWEIGHT TITLE, Sky Sports – WBC Champion Dirrell (33-1-1) is a massive 4/1 to keep his title against cocaine loving Benavidez (21-0), who starts 1/7. Seems a bit harsh considering he’s only lost to Badou Jack, and is better than everyone on Benavidez’s record. But that doesn’t mean he will win. Dirrell is more than capable of keeping this fight close, but I feel Benavidez is just better than him and will win the title on a close points decision. Benavidez on points @ a surprising 2/1
Mario Barrios v Batyr Akhmedov, VACANT WBA WORLD LIGHT-WELTERWEIGHT TITLE, Sky Sports – Intriguing fight this. The vacant WBA world title is on the line here, as Barrios (24-0) starts 1/2 favourite against relative novice Akhmedov (7-0), who is 6/4. Ahmedov in 7 fights as two stand out wins in 2018, Ricky Sismundo and an excellent stoppage against Ismael Barroso, so this fight is clearly not too soon for the Russian. Ive read a few places calling him “The New Lomachenko”, so we’ll see whether that’s true on Saturday. Barrios should rightly be considered favourite, but I have a sneaky feeling Ahmedov pulls off the upset. 24 KO’s in 31 fights between them should indicate a good, exciting fight is in store here. Im going with the upset and picking Ahmeov to win @ 6/4