Tyson Fury v Otto Wallin, 12 ROUNDS HEAVYWEIGHT, BT Sport PPV (Saturday) – Back in June before the Tom Schwarz fight, I wrote – “As it is, the anger over Tom Schwarz (24-0) getting this fight has softened a little with the news that Wilder Fury 2 has been agreed for 2020 when Fury wins here, and when Wilder beats Luis Ortiz again. If that is indeed true, im giving Fury a pass here for this fight” . Wheter Fury Wilder has indeed been signed for February, Tyson isn’t getting a pass on this fight. This is a sham of a fight, made even worse by BT Sport making this PPV! There is no conceivable reason for Fury (28-0-1) to be fighting Otto Wallin (20-0). The Swedish southpaw is indeed unbeaten (so was Tom Scharwz), but take a look at his record. You would struggle to find anyone who has heard of more than one opponent. Once Fury signed with Top Rank, the fear was we would get these ridiculous fights, and it seems we weren’t wrong. People are keen to have a go at Joshua and Wilder for their selection of opponents, but they are far better than the Tom Schwarz and Otto Wallins of the world. This will show us nothing we don’t already know about Fury. It’s a waste of everyone’s time (except Otto Wallin if they are paying him enough). Fury has to fight Wilder after this fight, otherwise he’s in danger of becoming forgotten. I have no interest in this fight, made even worse by the long odds. Fury is 1/25, and Wallin 10/1. Fury has a 8” reach advantage, and 10cm height advantage, so he’s pretty much going to pepper Wallin with jabs and power shots until he stops him. Wallin looks like he has more fight in him than Schwarz, so I don’t think it ends as fast as the 2nd round. Outright KO wins are 1/3 for Fury, and 14/1 for Wallin to shock the world. If Wallin does prove durable, a decision win for Fury is 5/2, with Wallin 28/1, which should realistically be 100/1. Rounds betting seems to be our best bet for a good win here. Rounds 4/6 is a decent 13/5 price, with rounds 7-9 starting at 3/1. I struggle to see it finishing in rounds 1-3 or 10-12 myself, and slightly favour the 4-6 option. Tyson Fury is the most talented heavyweight on the planet, hopefully this is the end of these glorified sparring sessions and we get to see him put that talent to better use in the future.
BNC Tip – Tyson Fury to win in rounds 4-6 @ 13/5
Other Notable Fight
Devin Haney v Zaur Abdullaev, INTERIM WBC WORLD LIGHTWEIGHT TITLE, Sky Sports (Friday) – Rising prospect (superstar?) Haney (22-0) returns to take on unbeaten Abdullaev (11-0) as he looks to move towards a world title shot. He’s very vocal about wanting Lomachenko, so an impressive performance here could put him near the front of the queue by winning an interim title, and more importantly, if Lomachenko stays at lightweight. Haney, along with Teofimo Lopez, are looking every bit the next great fighters to come out of America. Abdullaev is taking a big step up in class here, he’s only had 11 fights, and his best win is probably Henry Lundy who he beat by UD last year. He comes in off the back of a February stoppage win over Humberto Martinez, but Haney has every conceivable advantage here. Abdullaev is no better than Menard, Burgos, Ndongeni or Moran, who Haney has easily beaten over the last 2 years. He’s already got a date pencilled in to fight again in November (hello KSI v Logan Paul), so this shows how confident Eddie Hearn is Haney wins this with no problems at all. The bookies agree with Eddie, and have Haney a massive 1/25, with Abdullaev 10/1. Haney was masterful in stopping Moran in the 7th last time out, so I don’t think he’ll settle for a winning a wide UD. The bookies have the decision win as 8/11 with a Haney KO at 6/5. I think the gulf in class is too wide here, and I fancy a mid to late rounds stoppage at 6/5 for Haney.
BNC Tip – Haney to win by stoppage @ 6/5
Michael Hunter v Sergey Kuzmin, WBA INTER-CONTINENTAL HEAVYWEIGHT TITLE, Sky Sports (Friday) – Maybe the best fight of the weekend. Hunter (17-1) takes on Kuzmin (15-0) in what should be a decent heavyweight fight. Matchroom love Hunter, and have big hopes for him, so they must fancy Hunter to get the job done. Hunter starts 1/4, with Kuzman 11/4. Coming in off the back of 4 stoppages, I think that streak ends here for Hunter. This should be his toughest fight at heavyweight, and he should win on the cards at 5/6
Emanuel Navarrete v Juan Miguel Elorde, WBO WORLD SUPER-BANTAMWEIGHT TITLE, BT Sport PPV (Saturday) – Champion Navarrette (28-1) 1/33 defends against Elorde (28-1) in a routine defence here. Nothing other than a KO win for Navarrete at 1/8, with rounds 4-6 being a good bet here at 15/8.