Vasiliy Lomachenko v Luke Campbell WBO WORLD, WBA SUPER WORLD & VACANT WBC WORLD Lightweight Titles, Sky Sports Box Office – There are very few men on the planet that are capable of beating Vasiliy Lomachenko (13-1), Luke Campbell (20-0) isn’t one of them. No one is more unbeatable at this point than Lomachenko. He is the best pound for pound fighter in boxing at the minute, with Crawford and Spence right up there. He is a phenomenal boxer, with everything you could wish for in a fighter. The Olympic gold medallist went pro and immediately went for a world title at featherweight, losing to Orlando Salido in only his second fight. Salido, a seasoned pro, came in overweight (arguably on purpose), swarmed Lomachenko and won a very close SD over a smaller Lomachenko. This loss probably did Loma more good than bad in hindsight. Since then he’s been unstoppable. After winning the vacant WBO title Salido lost on the scales in his next fight against Gary Russell, Lomachenko has won world titles at super-featherweight and lightweight, with only Jorge Linares, who did knock him down, giving him any trouble along the way, and only Jose Pedraza lasting 12 rounds since 2014. Fair play to Luke Campbell for stepping up as the next man in line to face Lomachenko. He does have a height, reach and size advantage over Lomachenko here, but that can only get him so far once Lomachenko figures him out. He comes in on the back of 3 wins since his only other shot at a world title, an extremely close SD loss against Linares. Campbell was put down in the 2nd round, then boxed brilliantly to push Linares all the way. I believe Campbell won that fight, and was desperately unlucky to come home without the title. He showed he can at least compete at world level. But he’s a massive underdog here, as every opponent of Lomachenko’s is. Bookies have him 8/1, with Lomachenko 1/16 to retain his titles and win the vacant WBC title. Lomachenko should be at least 1/50 for me, maybe more. I give Campbell no chance. This would be a bigger shock than Ruiz/Joshua for me. A KO win for Lomachenko is a decent 4/9, with a points win 5/2. Campbell on the other hand, is 12/1 for a KO and 20/1 on points. This fight has potential to go the full 12 rounds, which id class as win for Campbell if it does. Its 9/4 to go 12 rounds, which is worth considering if you think Campbell can survive. Sky have done a good job of talking up Campbell’s chances here, but don’t be fooled, this should be a very one sided fight after maybe the 3rd or 4th round, and I think Lomachenko eventually wears down Campbell to the point Shane McGuigan, or the ref, has seen enough, and pulls him out in the later rounds. It’s not the worst fight this, and should be entertaining.
BNC Prediction – Lomachenko to win by KO (4/9)
Other Notable Fights
Hughie Fury v Alexander Povetkin, 12 rounds Heavyweight, Sky Sports Box Office – Interesting fight this. Fury (23-2) is not a world level fighter, his loses to Parker and Pulev have showed us that. But is Povetkin (34-2) there for the taking? He’s 39 years old, and hasn’t fought since his loss to Joshua almost a year ago. He’s never been the biggest heavyweight, but does carry enough power to trouble the lower level heavyweights. Fury is slow and ponderous, and without any serious punching power. He could be left wide open for a signature Povetkin hook, or could prove to be too big for the old Povetkin. Bookies have Povetkin a 1/2 favourite, with Fury 6/4. Povetkin is 5/2 for a KO, but more likely to win on the cards at 11/8. Fury is a long 6/1 to stop Povetkin, and 9/4 to get the nod on the judges’ cards. Ive never been impressed with Fury, and he’s shown me nothing he can win here. I predict a very dull, boring and long 12 rounds here, with Povetkin getting the nod on the cards at 11/8
Charlie Edwards v Julio Cesar Martinez Aguilar, WBC World Flyweight Title, Sky Sports Box Office – Dangerous fight for Edwards (15-10) as he defends his title against powerfull Aguilar (14-1). Edwards has very little power at world level, so will need to use his superior boxing skills to keep Aguilar at bay and box his way to another successful defence. Aguilar has 11 KO’s on 14 fights, most recently Andrew Selby, so if Edwards can’t keep away he could be in for long, and unsuccessful night. Edwards starts 1/3, and Aguilar 9/4. Edwards likely can’t stop Aguilar, and a points win is 8/13, with a KO 5/1. On the flip side, Aguilar likely can’t win a decision, which is 10/1, so will need to win by KO at 3/1 if he wants to claim the WBC title. I don’t think this will be easy for Edwards, but after a tough couple of middle rounds, should be able to box his way to reclaiming his title. Edwards to win on points at 8/13
Joshua Buatsi v Ryan Ford, WBA International Light-Heavyweight Title, Sky Sports Box Office – Buatsi (11-0) should have a routine defence here against Ford (16-4). Coming in on the back of 6 stoppages wins, Buatsi should look to this make this 7. 37 year old Canadian Ford has never been stopped, but I feel this fight has been made to make Buatsi look big and powerful in becoming the first man to stop Ford, after Fedor Chudinov, Andrey Sirotkin, Avni Yildirim and Nick Hanning, all solid opposition, failed to do so. Buatsi by KO at a somewhat surprising 1/5
Joe Cordina v Gavin Gwynne, British Lightweight Title – Cordina (9-0) defends his title against fellow unbeaten Gwynne (11-0). The big difference is Gwynne hasn’t been in with anyone close to British level so far, and Cordina has. Cordina has good wins against Sean Dodd and an impressive stoppage over Andy Townend back in April. Gwynne has next to no power, so Cordina can likely walk him down and get himself a stoppage win. Cordina by KO at 2/5
Erislandy Lara v Ramon Alvarez, Vacant WBA World Light-Middleweight Title – Lara (25-3-3) gets a shot at the vacant WBA world title here against Canelo’s brother Alvarez (28-7-3), and should have next to no trouble claiming it. Alvarez was stopped by Brandon Rios last year, so Lara can surely take him out. Whether he chooses to is a different story, and partly why he’s not well liked by fans and TV networks. He’s boring, plays spoiler, and is also a fantastic boxer. I fancy him to get the stoppage and move on to another big fight. Its 5/2 for the decision win for Lara, which is a possibility if you want some longer odds. Lara by KO at 1/3.